The New York Jets and New England Patriots are set to face off in a highly-anticipated matchup on Sunday Night Football. Both teams enter the game with 7-3 records, and the winner will take a big step towards securing a playoff spot. The Jets are led by quarterback Zach Wilson, who has thrown for over 2,000 yards and 15 touchdowns this season. The Patriots are led by quarterback Mac Jones, who has thrown for over 2,300 yards and 14 touchdowns. Both quarterbacks will be looking to lead their teams to victory in this crucial matchup.
The Jets have a slight edge in the passing game, as Wilson has more experience and a better supporting cast. However, the Patriots have a better running game, led by running back Rhamondre Stevenson. Stevenson has rushed for over 600 yards and six touchdowns this season. The Patriots also have a better defense, which is ranked fifth in the NFL in points allowed. The Jets defense is ranked 15th in the NFL in points allowed.
Ultimately, this game is a toss-up. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses, and it could go either way. The Jets have the better passing game, but the Patriots have the better running game and defense. It will be interesting to see which team can impose its will on the other and come away with the victory.
Betting on the Spread
The spread is a point advantage given to the underdog team by sportsbooks to level the playing field and make the game more competitive. In the Jets vs Patriots matchup, the Patriots are favored by 7 points, meaning they must win by 8 or more points for their backers to win their bets. Conversely, the Jets must either win outright or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread and pay out to their supporters.
Spreads can be a tricky proposition, especially when dealing with large point differences. In this case, the 7-point spread is significant, as it requires the Patriots to not only win, but to win by a convincing margin. History shows that teams favored by 7 or more points have a winning percentage of just over 50%, indicating that upsets are not uncommon in such scenarios.
However, the Patriots have a strong track record against the spread, especially at home. Over the past 10 years, they have covered the spread in 55% of their games at Gillette Stadium, including a 4-2 record against the Jets during that span. This suggests that while the spread may be generous, the Patriots have the experience and home-field advantage to overcome it.
| Years | Record |
|---|---|
| 2013-2022 | 55% (22-18) |
Over/Under Total Points
The total number of points scored in a game is often a key factor in determining the outcome. In this matchup, the over/under is set at 44.5 points. The Jets and Patriots have both been involved in high-scoring games this season, so there is a good chance that this one will go over the total.
Here are some of the factors that could contribute to a high-scoring game:
The Jets and Patriots have two of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. Both teams have multiple playmakers who can score from anywhere on the field. The Jets have Zach Wilson, Elijah Moore, and Garrett Wilson, while the Patriots have Mac Jones, DeVante Parker, and Jakobi Meyers.
Both defenses have been susceptible to giving up big plays. The Jets have allowed the seventh-most passing yards per game this season, while the Patriots have allowed the ninth-most rushing yards per game. This could lead to a lot of points being scored in bunches.
The weather forecast for the game is favorable for passing. This could lead to both teams airing it out and putting up a lot of points.
Pick: Over 44.5 points
| Over 44.5 Points | Under 44.5 Points |
|---|---|
| -110 | -110 |
Quarterbacks
Zach Wilson will be making his first career start against a Patriots defense that has been one of the best in the NFL in recent years. Wilson has a lot of potential, but he is still a rookie and is likely to make some mistakes. On the other hand, Cam Newton is a veteran quarterback who has had a lot of success in the NFL. However, he is coming off a season in which he struggled with injuries and inconsistency. In this matchup, the Patriots have the edge at quarterback.
Running Backs
The Jets have a solid running back duo in Tevin Coleman and Michael Carter. Coleman is a veteran who has had success in the NFL, while Carter is a rookie who has shown a lot of promise. The Patriots have a good running back in Damien Harris, but he is coming off an injury. In this matchup, the Jets have the edge at running back.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
The Jets have a young and talented group of wide receivers led by Denzel Mims, Elijah Moore, and Corey Davis. The Patriots have a more experienced group of wide receivers led by Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne, and Jakobi Meyers. However, the Jets have a slight edge at tight end with Tyler Conklin.
| Quarter | Jets | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Field Goal | Touchdown |
| 2nd | Touchdown | Touchdown |
| 3rd | Touchdown | Field Goal |
| 4th | Touchdown | Field Goal |
Player Prop Bets: Jets Receiving Yards
Elijah Moore Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Moore has emerged as a favorite target of Zach Wilson in recent weeks, averaging 75.8 receiving yards over his last four games. The Patriots have struggled to contain opposing wide receivers this season, allowing a league-high 1,052 receiving yards to the position. Moore should have plenty of opportunities to make big plays in this matchup and has a good chance of surpassing his receiving yardage prop.
Here is a table summarizing the player prop bets discussed:
| Player | Prop | Line | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Moore | Receiving Yards | Over 64.5 (-115) | Over |
Garrett Wilson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Wilson has been less consistent than Moore this season, but he still has the potential to make big plays. The Patriots have also been vulnerable to slot receivers, allowing over 60 receiving yards per game to the position. Wilson could be in line for a big game if he can get open in the middle of the field.
Braxton Berrios Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Berrios has been a reliable target for Wilson in the short passing game, but he has not been a major factor in the Jets’ offense. The Patriots have been solid against slot receivers this season, allowing just 40.3 receiving yards per game to the position. Berrios is not likely to see a lot of targets in this matchup and is a good candidate to go under his receiving yardage prop.
Player Prop Bets: Patriots Passing Yards
Mac Jones is averaging 220.3 passing yards per game this season, which ranks 22nd in the NFL. He has thrown for over 250 yards in just two of his nine starts.
The Jets are allowing an average of 243.9 passing yards per game this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL. They have allowed four quarterbacks to throw for over 300 yards against them this season.
Jones is a solid option for a player prop bet on passing yards. He has a good matchup against the Jets’ pass defense, and he has the potential to put up big numbers in this game.
Here are some of the best bets for Patriots passing yards:
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 230.5 passing yards | -110 |
| Over 250.5 passing yards | -125 |
| Over 275.5 passing yards | +100 |
The over on 230.5 passing yards is a good bet. Jones has averaged 220.3 passing yards per game this season, and he has a good matchup against the Jets’ pass defense.
The over on 250.5 passing yards is a bit riskier, but it still has some value. Jones has thrown for over 250 yards in two of his nine starts this season.
The over on 275.5 passing yards is a long shot, but it could pay off if Jones has a big game. He has the potential to put up big numbers in this game.
Defensive Prop Bets: Jets Sacks
The Jets’ pass rush has been a force to be reckoned with this season, led by Quinnen Williams and Carl Lawson. They rank third in the NFL with 36 sacks, and they’ll be facing a Patriots offensive line that has allowed 30 sacks this season.
Williams is the Jets’ best pass rusher, with 11 sacks on the season. He’s a disruptive force who can create chaos in the backfield. Lawson has also been effective, with 7.5 sacks on the season. He’s a speed rusher who can get to the quarterback quickly.
The Patriots have a solid offensive line, but they’ve struggled against good pass rushes this season. They allowed 4 sacks to the Bills in Week 13 and 3 sacks to the Bengals in Week 15.
The Jets should be able to get to Mac Jones early and often. Williams and Lawson are both matchup nightmares for the Patriots’ offensive line. The Jets are a good bet to record at least 3 sacks in this game.
Total Jets Sacks
| Over/Under | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | -115 |
| Under 2.5 | -105 |
The Jets have recorded at least 3 sacks in 10 of their 15 games this season. The Patriots have allowed at least 3 sacks in 8 of their 15 games this season.
The Jets are a good bet to record at least 3 sacks in this game. The Patriots’ offensive line has struggled against good pass rushes this season, and the Jets have one of the best pass rushes in the NFL.
Defensive Prop Bets: Patriots Interceptions
The Patriots defense has been one of the most opportunistic in the league this season, ranking second in interceptions with 16. They will face a Jets offense that has been turnover-prone, throwing nine interceptions in their last six games. This matchup sets up well for the Patriots to continue their impressive interception streak.
Over/Under 0.5 Interceptions by Patriots Defense
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over | -120 |
| Under | +100 |
The Patriots defense has recorded at least one interception in seven of their 12 games this season. Against the Jets, who have thrown multiple interceptions in three of their last six games, the Patriots are well-positioned to add to their tally. The over is the smart bet here.
Patriots Player to Record an Interception
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jalen Mills | +220 |
| Kyle Dugger | +240 |
| Jonathan Jones | +260 |
| Ja’Whaun Bentley | +300 |
Jalen Mills is the Patriots’ interception leader this season with three and is a good value bet at +220. Kyle Dugger has returned 2/3 intercepts for TDs this season and offers additional intrigue in the player props market.
Team Prop Bets: Jets Rushing Yards
The Jets have been one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL this season, averaging 28.7 rushing attempts per game. They have also been effective on the ground, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. However, they will face a tough test this week against the Patriots, who have allowed just 3.8 yards per carry this season.
Over/Under 132.5 Rushing Yards
The Jets have rushed for over 132.5 yards in four of their six games this season. However, they have also failed to reach that mark in two of their games, including last week against the Packers. The Patriots have allowed over 132.5 rushing yards in just two of their six games this season. They have also held their opponents to under 100 rushing yards in two of their games.
The Jets are likely to try to establish the run early and often against the Patriots. However, the Patriots have a strong run defense. This game could be a close one, and the Jets may not be able to run the ball as effectively as they have in some of their other games.
Over/Under 5.5 Yards Per Carry
The Jets have averaged 4.8 yards per carry this season. However, they have only averaged 4.2 yards per carry in their last two games. The Patriots have allowed just 3.8 yards per carry this season. They have also held their opponents to under 4.0 yards per carry in four of their six games.
The Jets are likely to try to establish the run early and often against the Patriots. However, the Patriots have a strong run defense. The Jets may not be able to run the ball as effectively as they have in some of their other games. This could make it difficult for them to average 5.5 yards per carry.
| Over/Under | Odds |
|---|---|
| 132.5 Rushing Yards | -115 |
| 5.5 Yards Per Carry | -110 |
Team Prop Bets: Patriots Penalty Yards
The Patriots have been one of the most penalized teams in the NFL in recent years, but they’ve shown some improvement in that area this season. Through seven games, they’ve averaged just 6.2 penalties per game, which is down from 8.1 last year and 9.2 in 2020.
However, the Patriots are still capable of committing some costly penalties, and they’ve already had several games this season with 10 or more penalties. The Patriots are likely to be penalized more than the Jets, who have averaged just 3.9 penalties per game this season.
Under 6.5 Patriots Penalty Yards (-120)
The Patriots have been penalized for 6.2 yards per game this season, so the under on 6.5 yards is a good bet. They’ve only been penalized for more than 6.5 yards in one game this season, and they’ve been penalized for less than 6.5 yards in six of their seven games.
Over 5.5 Patriots Penalty Yards (-140)
The Patriots have been penalized for at least 5.5 yards in every game this season, so the over on 5.5 yards is a solid bet. They’ve been penalized for more than 5.5 yards in six of their seven games, and they’ve only been penalized for less than 5.5 yards in one game.
Over 9.5 Patriots Penalty Yards (+140)
The Patriots have been penalized for more than 9.5 yards in three of their seven games this season, so the over on 9.5 yards is a long shot but has paid off in just over 40% of Patriots’ games this season. However, the Jets have been one of the least penalized teams in the NFL this season, so the Patriots may not be able to rack up the penalties against them.
| Patriots Penalty Yards | Over/Under | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 | Over 6.5 | -120 |
| Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 | -140 |
| Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 | +140 |
Special Teams Prop Bets: Jets Field Goals
The Jets have struggled to score points this season, ranking near the bottom of the league in points per game. As a result, they have been forced to rely on their field goal kicker, Greg Zuerlein, more than they would like. Zuerlein is a veteran kicker who has been reliable throughout his career, but he has had some struggles this season. He has missed five field goals this year, which is tied for the most in the NFL.
Despite his struggles, Zuerlein is still a solid option for field goal props. He has a strong leg and is capable of making kicks from long range. The Jets are also likely to be in a lot of close games this season, which will give Zuerlein plenty of opportunities to attempt field goals.
Over/Under 2.5 Field Goals Made
Zuerlein has made two or more field goals in four of the Jets’ eight games this season. The Jets are likely to be in a lot of close games this season, which will give Zuerlein plenty of opportunities to attempt field goals. The over is a good bet at -120.
| Over 2.5 Field Goals Made | -120 |
| Under 2.5 Field Goals Made | +100 |
Jets vs Patriots Best Bets
The New York Jets and New England Patriots are set to face off in a Week 8 AFC East matchup. Both teams are coming off of losses, so this game is a must-win for both sides. The Jets are currently 5-2, while the Patriots are 3-4. The Patriots are favored by 3 points in this game, but the Jets have a good chance of pulling off the upset.
The Jets have a strong defense that is led by cornerback Sauce Gardner. Gardner has been one of the best rookies in the NFL this season, and he will be a tough matchup for Patriots quarterback Mac Jones. The Jets also have a good pass rush, which could make life difficult for Jones. On the offensive side of the ball, the Jets are led by quarterback Zach Wilson. Wilson has been inconsistent this season, but he has shown flashes of brilliance. The Jets also have a good running game, which could help them control the clock and keep the Patriots’ offense off the field.
The Patriots are led by quarterback Mac Jones. Jones has been solid this season, but he has not been as good as he was last year. The Patriots also have a good running game, which is led by running back Rhamondre Stevenson. Stevenson is one of the most promising young running backs in the NFL, and he will be a tough matchup for the Jets’ defense. On the defensive side of the ball, the Patriots are led by cornerback Jalen Mills. Mills is a good cornerback, but he will have his hands full with Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson.
Prediction
This is a tough game to predict, but I think the Jets have a good chance of pulling off the upset. The Jets’ defense is one of the best in the NFL, and they should be able to make life difficult for Mac Jones. The Jets also have a good running game, which could help them control the clock and keep the Patriots’ offense off the field. I think the Jets will win this game outright, 24-20.
People Also Ask
Who is favored in the Jets vs Patriots game?
The Patriots are favored by 3 points in this game.
What is the over/under for the Jets vs Patriots game?
The over/under for this game is 40.5 points.
Who has the better record, the Jets or the Patriots?
The Jets have a better record than the Patriots this season. The Jets are 5-2, while the Patriots are 3-4.
